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Risenshine! Here is digest of signals harvested on 2026-08-30.
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Markets
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International - 08/28 |
+0.0224% +6.3186% MoM | +0.1517% +1.5162% MoM | -0.1645% +1.357% MoM | +0.0804% +3.5613% MoM |
+0.0804% +3.5613% MoM | -0.0961% +4.9663% MoM | -0.6093% +6.1677% MoM | -0.8706% +5.3457% MoM |
-0.1278% +2.6267% MoM | -0.4266% +4.7824% MoM | +0.1043% +7.4896% MoM | +0.7662% -1.6888% MoM |
+0.0313% +7.2971% MoM | +0.0606% +0.7932% MoM | -0.672% +20.68% MoM | -0.0871% +0.1747% MoM |
-0.1471% +4.8841% MoM | -0.4314% +8.7653% MoM | -1.6302% +1.8312% MoM | -0.1018% +8.0352% MoM |
+0.179% +4.4243% MoM | +0.144% -0.4579% MoM | -1.5103% +6.4013% MoM | +0.253% +3.9277% MoM |
-1.4189% +13.5373% MoM |
Commodities - 08/28 |
-3.2442% +10.1892% MoM | -4.3811% +15.9359% MoM | -0.2384% +0.3016% MoM | -1.611% +13.0226% MoM |
+1.2838% +6.1841% MoM | +1.1621% +4.1268% MoM | -0.7754% +3.442% MoM | -0.9588% +4.0282% MoM |
+0.7576% +11.8901% MoM | +2.8655% +14.2857% MoM | -5.7887% +21.4552% MoM | -1.3743% +13.9796% MoM |
Favorites - 08/28 |
+0.8196% +10.6632% MoM | -2.3266% +8.3853% MoM | +1.677% +31.4923% MoM | -4.575% +14.494% MoM |
-0.7174% +28.1213% MoM | -1.713% +13.0892% MoM | +3.9686% +17.5513% MoM | +2.2268% +3.3643% MoM |
+0.8775% -10.7453% MoM | -6.332% +6.2964% MoM | -2.845% +9.2697% MoM | -0.2705% +26.2327% MoM |
-0.3581% +5.4663% MoM | -10.2837% +32.5704% MoM | +1.6276% -5.4673% MoM | +0.6336% -3.5376% MoM |
Sectors - 08/28 |
-0.2269% +5.4684% MoM | -0.2448% +2.9596% MoM | +0.3801% +2.5053% MoM | -0.403% -3.2202% MoM |
-3.1993% +9.3806% MoM | -0.6147% -1.456% MoM | -0.4848% -4.5408% MoM | -0.4113% -3.0903% MoM |
+0.8544% +1.9187% MoM | -3.2839% +5.185% MoM |
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Gainers
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Guardforce AI Co., Limited Warrant +140% Guardforce AI Co Ltd is an integrated solution provider, specializing in security solutions, and also focuses on implementing AI and robotics solutions to improve business operatio... | FingerMotion, Inc. Common Stock +85.8% FingerMotion Inc is engaged in the provision of mobile payment and recharge services in the Chinese market. The Company organizes its operations across four primary areas: telecomm... |
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Losers
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BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock -76.1% BioXcel Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The company is focused on drug development utilizing novel artificial intelligence (AI) to identify the next... | Algoma Steel Group Inc. Warrant -67% Algoma Steel Group Inc is a fully integrated steel producer of hot and cold rolled steel products, including coiled sheet and plate, strategically located. The firm operates in a s... |
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Business
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Implications of the US Securing Control of 65 Billion Barrels of Venezuelan Oil Amid Current Sanctions and Geopolitical Tensions |
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🗺 Background:- Venezuela possesses the world's largest proven oil reserves, estimated at over 300 billion barrels as of 2024.
- U.S. sanctions have sharply restricted Venezuela's oil exports for years, with new measures introduced in early 2026.
- Since the collapse of oil prices in 2014, Venezuela's economy has faced hyperinflation and severe contraction.
- Geopolitical tensions have intensified as China and Russia support the Maduro administration against U.S. influence.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Donald Trump is directly involved as he announced the oil control agreement with Venezuela on August 28, 2026.
- The Venezuelan government, led by Nicolás Maduro, is a principal party in the newly announced oil deal.
- U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo was named by Trump as lead negotiator for the agreement.
- Major international oil companies, such as Chevron and Rosneft, are indirectly impacted by changes in oil control.
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💡 News facts:- Donald Trump stated on August 28, 2026, that the United States government has secured majority control of 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan oil through an agreement with the country .
- The precise terms and costs of the U.S.-Venezuela oil reserves deal remain unclear as of August 28, 2026, according to media reporting .
- President Trump announced the oil deal in a social media post, stating it was negotiated by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, on August 28, 2026 .
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➡ Potential consequences:- U.S. control over large Venezuelan oil reserves may shift global oil markets and increase supply-side influence.
- The agreement could intensify geopolitical tensions between the U.S., Venezuela, and allied countries such as Russia and China.
- Venezuelan domestic politics may destabilize further due to perceived loss of sovereignty over national resources.
- Legal and financial disputes are likely as stakeholders and creditors contest the legitimacy and outcomes of the deal.
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The New Indian Stock Closing Auction System: Causes and Consequences of Market Volatility and Exchange Price Divergence |
🗺 Background:- India implemented a new stock closing auction system on August 3, 2026, aimed at improving price discovery.
- The mechanism determines official closing prices differently, impacting liquidity and volatility.
- Prior to this change, India relied on a previous auction framework for years without frequent significant price gaps.
- Market participants have raised concerns due to exacerbated volatility since the system's introduction in early August 2026.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Key stakeholders include the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), India’s principal trading venues.
- Indian regulatory agencies such as the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) are responsible for oversight.
- Major Indian banks and financial institutions are among the top affected companies given their large share presence.
- Equity traders and institutional investors have been vocal in their criticism of the new closing auction system.
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💡 News facts:- On August 29, 2026, Bloomberg reported that Indian bank stocks experienced sharp closing price gaps between the NSE and BSE under the new auction system, intensifying scrutiny from traders.
- Bloomberg published on August 28, 2026, that the new closing mechanisms revealed liquidity challenges and raised critical questions about the auction’s early implementation.
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➡ Potential consequences:- If the market volatility and price divergence persist, investor confidence in India’s stock markets may erode in the near term.
- Sustained discrepancies between NSE and BSE closing prices could prompt regulatory intervention or system revisions.
- Institutional investors may adjust or pause trading strategies until closing price reliability is restored.
- Over the medium term, unresolved structural issues could impact foreign portfolio inflows into Indian equities.
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The Strategic Importance of the Strait of Hormuz and Evolving Energy Trade Strategies in Asia |
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🗺 Background:- The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 21 million barrels of oil per day, making it the world’s busiest energy chokepoint.
- Asia relies heavily on oil and gas imports passing through the Strait, with countries like China, Japan, and South Korea collectively consuming over 60% of sea-borne crude traversing this route.
- Tensions between Iran and regional actors have periodically threatened transit, with recent escalations driving major energy trade strategy shifts.
- Since the 2010s, Asian nations have gradually diversified supply routes and invested in strategic reserves to mitigate disruptions.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Iran affects strait transit via its military presence and foreign policy, directly influencing global oil flows.
- Major Asian economies including China, Japan, India, and South Korea are principal importers whose energy security depends on uninterrupted Hormuz access.
- Companies like Sinopec, JXTG Holdings, and Indian Oil Corporation frequently adjust sourcing strategies in response to regional instability.
- International institutions including the International Energy Agency and OPEC regularly issue alerts and contingency plans when Hormuz is threatened.
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➡ Potential consequences:- Near-term: Asian economies may face surging energy prices and risks of supply shortages, intensifying inflationary pressures.
- Medium-term: Supply diversification initiatives could accelerate, resulting in expanded infrastructure for LNG terminals and renewable energy projects across Asia.
- Geopolitical stability may deteriorate as regional actors vie for alternative supply routes and bolster maritime security capabilities.
- Global oil markets may experience persistent volatility and price spikes as uncertainty around Hormuz access continues.
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Flood Disaster at the Nepal-China Border: Assessing Reconstruction Plans and Financial Needs |
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🗺 Background:- A catastrophic flash flood struck the Nepal-China border area on August 27-28, 2026, causing widespread devastation.
- Water levels in affected rivers surged as much as 27 feet within 30 minutes, leaving little time for evacuation.
- The event was triggered by a glacial collapse, impacting communities and infrastructure along the region.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Nepal's Finance Minister is overseeing the assessment of reconstruction costs and international funding needs.
- Rescue operations are being coordinated by various Nepali and Chinese government agencies.
- International donors and financial institutions are being approached for support in rebuilding bridges, roads, and settlements.
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➡ Potential consequences:- Near-term consequences include further search and rescue challenges amid missing persons and destroyed infrastructure.
- Medium-term risks involve economic strain due to multibillion-dollar reconstruction needs and possible delays in international funding.
- Migration and displacement are likely as settlements are rebuilt and communities recover from the disaster.
- Cross-border cooperation between Nepal and China may intensify to facilitate logistics and disaster response.
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OpenAI’s Strategic Shifts and Trust Issues: Analysing the Termination of the Cursor Contract and APAC Leadership Change |
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🗺 Background:- OpenAI is a leading artificial intelligence company known for its ChatGPT product and recent global expansion efforts.
- Cursor is an AI code assistant company, recently involved in a partnership with OpenAI for code collaboration tools.
- Elon Musk’s xAI and SpaceX companies have previously had disputes with OpenAI regarding compliance and intellectual property.
- APAC leadership roles in tech companies are pivotal for market expansion and regulatory strategy, including Southeast Asia and Australia.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI and central to recent strategic decisions.
- Elon Musk, founder of SpaceX and xAI, is involved in the Cursor contract dispute.
- Sandhya Devanathan, formerly of Meta, was appointed OpenAI's new senior leader for Southeast Asia and Australia.
- Cursor, the software company, and APAC regulators are secondary stakeholders in the recent developments.
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➡ Potential consequences:- OpenAI’s termination of Cursor partnership may reduce collaboration opportunities for third-party AI coding platforms in the near term.
- Trust issues between OpenAI and Elon Musk's companies could influence future contractual negotiations and industry dynamics.
- APAC leadership change is likely to accelerate consumer growth, enterprise adoption, and regulatory engagement for OpenAI in Southeast Asia and Australia.
- Medium-term, increased scrutiny of contract compliance may lead to tighter controls and innovation barriers across AI partnerships.
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Science News
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Expansion of Chinese Automakers into Humanoid Robotics and Their Strategic Implications |
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🗺 Background:- Chinese automakers are expanding into humanoid robotics, inspired by Tesla's shift from automobiles to robots.
- Technical advancements have accelerated interest and participation in humanoid robot manufacturing among Chinese firms.
- Automotive companies view humanoid robots as a potential large-scale profit engine alongside traditional vehicle offerings.
- This strategic shift comes amid global competition to diversify industrial and consumer tech products.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Leading Chinese automakers such as BYD and Geely are investing in humanoid robotics.
- Tesla set a precedent with the development of its Optimus robot, influencing Asian competitors.
- TechCrunch reported this trend and key industry players in coverage dated August 28, 2026.
- Industry analysts and robotics engineers at Chinese institutions are involved in research and prototyping.
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➡ Potential consequences:- In the near term, competition for talent and intellectual property in robotics will intensify within China.
- Medium-term, Chinese automakers could reshape global robotics markets and supply chains, challenging Western dominance.
- Robot integration with mobility platforms may accelerate automation in manufacturing and smart cities.
- Strategic alliances and cross-industry partnerships could emerge for research and market access.
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Impact of US Export Controls and Infrastructure Investments on Global AI Compute Distribution (2022–2026) |
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🗺 Background:- In 2022, the US contributed about 45–50% of global new AI compute, while China contributed 30–35%.
- US export controls on AI hardware and semiconductor technology were expanded from 2022 onward.
- Major infrastructure investments accelerated the buildout of US AI data centers after export controls.
- By 2026, US policies redirected global AI investment towards domestic compute and reduced China's share.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Key stakeholders include US government agencies overseeing export controls, such as the Department of Commerce.
- Major US semiconductor companies like Nvidia and AMD are primary suppliers of high-performance AI chips.
- Chinese technology firms, including Baidu and Alibaba, rely heavily on imported AI hardware.
- Data center operators like Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure are central to US AI infrastructure growth.
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➡ Potential consequences:- Near-term: US-based AI research and products are likely to outpace global competitors due to compute concentration.
- Near-term: Chinese AI innovation may slow down as access to advanced chips and compute infrastructure is restricted.
- Medium-term: Global firms may relocate AI workloads and investments to US-based facilities to leverage leading compute resources.
- Medium-term: Strategic imbalances could reinforce technological leadership of US companies, impacting international AI collaboration and competition.
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Financial Risks and Opportunities in AI Chip Leasing Strategies: Case Study of Neocloud Lambda |
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🗺 Background:- Neocloud Lambda is a company focused on leasing Nvidia AI chips to large technology firms.
- AI chip leasing strategies are increasingly used to meet surging demand and manage capital expenses in the AI sector.
- Companies often raise debt to finance large-scale purchases of AI hardware for leasing purposes.
- The high upfront cost of Nvidia chips has driven new financial models in AI infrastructure.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Neocloud Lambda is a major player in the AI chip leasing market.
- Microsoft is a principal client, using leased Nvidia chips for its AI initiatives.
- Nvidia supplies the GPUs central to Neocloud Lambda's leasing strategy.
- Private creditors are involved in financing Neocloud Lambda's chip purchases.
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➡ Potential consequences:- The new debt may increase Neocloud Lambda's financial risk if demand for AI chip leases fluctuates in the near term.
- Major clients like Microsoft could further accelerate their AI development with access to leased GPUs.
- Medium-term, similar financing deals may become more common as other companies follow Neocloud Lambda's model.
- Elevated debt levels could expose lenders and the AI sector to increased financial volatility.
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Evaluation of Self-Improving AI Systems: Benchmarking Misaligned Behavior Reduction Techniques |
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🗺 Background:- Self-improving AI systems are designed to automatically identify and reduce misaligned behaviors through iterative learning processes.
- Benchmarking misaligned behavior reduction involves testing AI models against established criteria to ensure improved safety and reliability.
- Automated evaluations typically focus on performance metrics across multiple scenarios to detect unintended actions.
- Recent advancements have enabled AI systems to enhance their alignment without sacrificing overall capability.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Anthropic, an AI research company, is a leader in the development and evaluation of self-improving AI behaviors.
- Key individuals involved include research scientists at Anthropic and collaborating institutions.
- Academic and industrial labs conducting AI safety research play a crucial role in standardizing benchmarks.
- Regulatory bodies and ethics organizations influence reporting and adoption of alignment techniques.
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➡ Potential consequences:- Widespread adoption of self-improving AI techniques could rapidly accelerate the reduction of harmful or unsafe behaviors in deployed AI systems.
- Near-term regulatory scrutiny is expected due to rapid changes in AI self-improvement and alignment capabilities.
- Medium-term industry standards may shift, requiring regular benchmarking and transparency from major AI developers.
- Improved alignment has potential to increase public trust and reduce risk of misuse by malicious actors.
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Analysis of Open-Weight AI Company Acquisitions: Market Drivers and Competitive Dynamics in Silicon Valley |
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🗺 Background:- Open-weight AI companies allow flexible access to proprietary models while protecting source code.
- Acquisition interest surged in 2026 as major Valley firms raced for competitive AI capabilities.
- Silicon Valley's venture investments in open-weight AI startups reached over $3.2B in Q2 2026.
- Market demand is driven by enterprise needs for custom AI solutions and regulatory compliance.
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🎩 Key stakeholders:- Key buyers include Google, Meta, and Salesforce, each increasing acquisition budgets in 2026.
- Prominent open-weight AI companies are Anthropic, Mistral AI, and Cohere.
- Major venture capital firms such as Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia Capital are active investors.
- Regulatory bodies, including the FTC, monitor acquisitions for antitrust concerns.
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➡ Potential consequences:- Near-term, rapid acquisitions may limit independent AI innovation and centralize power among tech giants.
- Medium-term, consolidation could spur regulatory scrutiny and reshape competitive dynamics in enterprise AI.
- Acquisitions might accelerate deployment of custom AI models in sectors like finance and healthcare.
- Talent migration from startups to acquirers could impact Silicon Valley's innovation ecosystem.
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Culture
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Fausto Zonaro "Art is the universal language that transcends all barriers and connects souls..." Fausto Zonaro (1854–1929) was an Italian painter who lived and worked in the Ottoman Empire during the late 19th and early 20th centuries. He became the court painter to the Ottoman Sultan Abdulhamid II and is renowned for his vivid depictions of Ottoman life and history.... | Jurji Zaydan "The pen is the sword of the mind; it carves the path to enlightenment..." Jurji Zaydan (1861–1914) was a Lebanese novelist, journalist, and historian who played a significant role in the Nahda, the Arab cultural renaissance. He founded the influential magazine Al-Hilal and wrote historical novels that popularized Arab history and culture.... |
Nasir al-Din al-Tusi "The aim of science is not to open the door to infinite wisdom but to set a limit to infinite error..." Nasir al-Din al-Tusi (1201–1274) was a Persian polymath, architect, philosopher, physician, scientist, and theologian who made significant contributions to astronomy and mathematics, influencing later scientific thought in the Middle East. Although he lived earlier than the 19th century, his works w... | Abdulhamid II "If you trust God, you will be victorious..." Abdulhamid II (1842–1918) was the 34th Sultan of the Ottoman Empire, ruling from 1876 to 1909, known for his efforts to modernize the empire and for his autocratic style of government. His reign was marked by significant political reforms but also increasing tensions that led to the Young Turk Revol... |
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NASA
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M74: A Grand Design Spiral (2026-08-30) Credits: NASA / APOD |
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Github
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Trading tools |
investing-algorithm-framework 2024 stars #20 Framework for quantitative trading. Complete framework for development, backtesting, and deploying automated trading algorithms and trading bots.... | sunday-quant-scientist 1821 stars #21 A Free Newsletter for Quantitative and Algorithmic Trading, Portfolio Analysis, and Investing... |
RustQuant 1816 stars #22 Rust library for quantitative finance.... | Introduction-to-Quantitative-Finance 1704 stars #23 AI+金融(量化):1.多因子股票量化框架开源教程 2.学界和业界的经典资料收录 3.AI + 金融的相关工作,包括LLM, Agent, benchmark(evaluation), etc.... |
Sea Vessels |
Next-Wave 5 stars #20 iOS app for wake surfers and foilers to track boat waves on Swiss lakes. Built with SwiftUI.... | REST-API 5 stars #21 |
boatCamViewer 3 stars #22 Viewer for boatcam with horizontdetection / correction and trackers... | IceBoatRacingModpack 3 stars #23 Ice Boat Racing modpack issue tracker and configuration repository!... |
Air Vessels |
plane-mobile 222 stars #20 📱 🛫 🔥 Mobile App of Plane. Open Source JIRA, Linear and Height Alternative. Plane helps you track your issues, epics, and product roadmaps in the simplest way possible.... | Comp_Sci_Sem_2 205 stars #21 According to all known laws of aviation, there is no way that a bee should be able to fly. Its wings are too small to get its fat little body off the ground. The bee, of course, fl... |
perles 177 stars #22 A BQL (Beads Query Language) search, dependency and multi-view kanban board Terminal UI for Beads issue tracking and multi-agent orchestration control plane workflow runner.... | LiveTraffic 142 stars #23 LiveTraffic is an X-Plane multiplayer plugin, which fills your sky with live air traffic based on public flight tracking data.... |
Imagery |
Automold--Road-Augmentation-Library 646 stars #20 This library augments road images to introduce various real world scenarios that pose challenges for training neural networks of Autonomous vehicles. Automold is created to train C... | Text-Image-Augmentation 493 stars #21 Geometric Augmentation for Text Image... |
image_augmentor 458 stars #22 Data augmentation tool for images... | brainstorm 405 stars #23 Implementation of "Data augmentation using learned transforms for one-shot medical image segmentation"... |
Video |
mmagic 7457 stars #20 OpenMMLab Multimodal Advanced, Generative, and Intelligent Creation Toolbox. Unlock the magic 🪄: Generative-AI (AIGC), easy-to-use APIs, awsome model zoo, diffusion models, for te... | autoclip 7127 stars #21 AutoClip : AI-powered video clipping and highlight generation · 一款智能高光提取与剪辑的二创工具... |
Jellyfish 6237 stars #22 An end-to-end production workspace for AI-generated short dramas. From script input to structured storyboarding, consistency management, shot preparation, video generation, and exp... | FunClip 6199 stars #23 FunASR-powered video transcription, subtitle generation, and LLM-assisted clipping tool with a local Gradio UI.... |